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Archive of posts published in the category: future
Apr
26

Demographic Shifts: Shaping the Future of Car Ownership

Cars have been at the heart of American culture for more than a century. Until recently, getting a license and buying a car were considered rites of passage, and the car you chose was widely regarded as an expression of your identity, reflecting your priorities and revealing your status.

All that is now changing. The advent of car sharing, ride-hailing and self-driving vehicles presages a radical transformation in consumer behavior. The future of personal transportation will be determined by technological advances, informed by the needs and desires of the people who use them. Our understanding of who those consumers are and what choices they are likely to make is changing in surprising ways.

Car-loving Boomers Are Headed for Cities

Consider baby boomers, the generation born between 1946 and 1964. They may no longer be the largest generation in the U.S. (their kids, the 19- to 35-year-old millennials, now outnumber them slightly), but boomers are likely to continue playing a major role in shaping the future of the auto industry and the rapidly evolving “sharing economy.”

Given the boomers’ affection for cars, it’s not surprising that adults over 50 bought nearly two-thirds of the new cars sold in the U.S. in 2011, according to an AARP study. Unlike earlier generations, today’s seniors “are refusing to follow their parents’ lead and go quietly into the car-buying night,” according to a 2013 article in Bloomberg News. In fact, nearly 93% of Americans between 60 and 64 had driver’s licenses in 2011, up from only 84% in 1983.

What is surprising is that seniors are participating in the well-documented mass migration to urban centers. Despite the common assumption that millennials will dominate the urban landscape in the coming years, recent studies suggest that boomers are also locating there in droves. “Instead of migrating south en masse to retirement communities in the Sunshine State or the wilds of Arizona,” wrote Realtor.com, “more and more baby boomers — a particularly urban-savvy group of Americans — are moving back to the metro areas they abandoned when they began raising families.”

And these older urbanites are anything but sedentary. Rather than retiring, 87% say a shorter commute to work is a major reason for their move to the city, according to a recent Zipcar study. Moreover, when they are not working, the study said, “An overwhelming 90% are seeking to boost their cultural experiences, with easy access to a variety of restaurants, shops and fitness facilities.”

“Millennials have a lower rate of car ownership than previous generations at their age.” –Sam Abuelsamid, Navigant Research

All this activity makes urban boomers active consumers. “Between 2015 and 2030, the 60-plus age group in the United States, for instance, is projected to contribute 40% or more of consumption growth in categories such as personal care, housing, transportation, entertainment, and food and alcoholic beverages,” reported a 2016 study by the McKinsey Global Institute titled “Urban World: The Global Consumers to Watch.”

For boomers who keep their cars in the city, ride-hailing offers

Apr
15

Future of the Car Summit 2020

It is a challenging time for automotive industry executives. It is also an exciting one.

The global car industry is experiencing massive upheaval and uncertainty. A powerful set of forces are converging. New players are turning traditional business models upside-down. New technologies with far-reaching implications are cresting the hill. A sea-change in consumer behaviour is shaking-up and disorientating a sector once used to calling all the shots.

Individually, these forces present a real danger to businesses that don’t respond appropriately. Combined, they present a very serious threat indeed. But if properly harnessed, they have the potential to deliver big rewards.

Automotive manufacturers are working hard to get it right. They are embracing innovation and digital transformation in a bid to remain relevant. However, managing risk is part of established car-makers’ DNA, which is a problem because innovation is associated with taking risks. And while car-makers are putting in place strategic transformation plans towards becoming mobility solutions providers, it is not proving easy for them to leverage their assets in new ways beyond their core business.

Our 2020 summit helps carmakers to identify the critical risks and leverage the new opportunities that customer-centricity, new technology and data analytics, new business models, and the move towards a net-zero economy bring with them.

Source Article

Apr
4

The future of transportation is already here |

Let’s shake ourselves out of our four-wheeled stupor, look at the vehicles and devices being developed, and reimagine how we’ll move around our cities, says TED technology curator Alex Moura.

Humanity has come a long way from traveling by horse, but when we consider the future of transportation in cities, too many of us are still stuck in the 18th century. We still envision our streets full of four-wheel chariots (minus the horses), and our future as relying on cars or car-like vehicles, because that’s all we know. Why this myopia? For most automakers and transportation companies, adhering to the status quo is more profitable than experimenting; their business models, even for forward thinkers like Tesla, depend on their keeping drivers tethered with maintenance and service. And builders and urban planners have learned to limit their thinking because existing regulations and clunky political processes have made it nearly impossible to innovate without years of negotiations. As a result, we’re laying the foundations for a transportation future that carries forward the problems of the past.

But there can be another way forward, a new vision of transportation that upsets the four-wheel chariot model. And signs of it are already rolling across the landscape. By looking at some of the most advanced vehicles and devices out there — not just concept cars and prototypes but vehicles that are already in use or being road-tested in the real world — we can start to see a more interesting, less car-based future. Based on this new crop of transportation-related devices, I’m making the following four predictions:

Courtesy of i-Road.

1. Cars will become much, much smaller.

While SUV and truck sales have been on the rise worldwide, that trend has been boosted by low gasoline prices, which can’t last given the finite supplies of fossil fuels. As we move forward, personal urban transportation will be dominated by individual vehicles. In 2015, Toyota launched a trial run of its three-wheeled i-Road electric vehicles — which resemble an enclosed motorcycle and fit only a driver and perhaps a small passenger — through a network of sharing stations in Tokyo. (We road-tested them at TED, too.) The project is now expanding throughout Japan, a nation with more electric car-charging stations than gas stations. In a bid to become the first country to embrace smart transportation systems, government officials have gone as far as trying to create international car-charging standards.

Courtesy of Honda Uni-Cub.

2. On sidewalks and bike lanes: pint-sized people movers. 

In the next decades, bikes will still be a big part of how we move around urban areas. But while many people will continue to use bikes for health reasons, new technologies may overtake them, offering better ways to zip short distances inside cities. Much less cumbersome than a bicycle, scooter or Segway, these seated one-passenger devices take up roughly the space as a person. Without requiring handlebars or parking spaces, they’ll run on sidewalks, paved pedestrian areas and bike lanes. Honda’s Uni-Cub, a compact

Apr
3

Five Ways COVID-19 May Impact The Future Of Infrastructure And Transportation

With each passing day, reports on rising total confirmed cases of COVID-19 continue to dominate the global conscience, and the novel coronavirus is now present on every continent except for Antarctica. And the resulting fear is more pervasive. Thousands of people have perished as the effects of COVID-19 touch us all: stock markets have cratered, millions have become unemployed (temporarily or soon-to-be permanently), the federal government has passed a multi-trillion-dollar aid package, and health care institutions are being stretched thin. To “flatten the curve,” millions of people around the globe are quarantined in their homes or elsewhere, while infrastructure and transportation systems that bonded us globally, nationally, and locally are being used more sparingly, at least currently. Long-term, what could be the lasting effects on transportation and infrastructure in our post-COVID-19 world?

Public Transportation: Even though we are still in the first few weeks of what may be a prolonged quarantine throughout the United States, we have already seen a travel advisory issued for the New York City area, where transit ridership ranks among the highest in the country. So what does the future of transportation look like through a mandatorily-quarantined window? It’s murky, both because the windows need “cleaning” and the future of everything is covered with a COVID-19 glaze at the moment. One helpful data point is that during prior SARS outbreaks in Taiwan, there was a material drop in ridership of public transportation. If a return to work and schools occurs before a vaccine is created, people may not feel comfortable riding public transportation. With transit ridership dropping in Los Angeles in particular, could transit agencies be affected permanently?

Traffic: Assuming we remain quarantined in some form until successful treatments for COVID-19 are administered worldwide, Americans and others globally will be working from home for many months (if not for over a year). As some businesses may decide to permanently have their employees work from home to save on real estate costs, the number of commuters on the roads may drastically drop. So, could that lead to more commuters taking advantage of less congested roads, perhaps even those who traditionally rode public transportation?

Driverless cars: Another possible (and perhaps positive) impact on transportation from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic could be the acceleration of mass adoption of driverless cars, and, hopefully, the “tweaks” that are needed to our infrastructure to maximize the safety and efficiency of driverless cars to ensure they are connected to other driverless cars, road infrastructure, and their own designated lanes away from “human” drivers. Will the future of commuting consist of a double-down of personal vehicles, but driven by themselves and connected to our infrastructure so we don’t have to just work from home, but also from our cars?

Micromobility: As urban

Mar
31

Tech and the future of transportation: From here to there

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Image: Kirillm, Getty Images/iStockphoto

Articles about technology and the future of transportation rarely used to get far without mentioning jet-packs: a staple of science fiction from the 1920s onwards, the jet pack became a reality in the 1960s in the shape of devices such as the Bell Rocket Belt. But despite many similar efforts, the skies over our cities remain stubbornly free of jet-pack-toting commuters.

For a novel form of transport to make a material difference to our lives, several key requirements must be satisfied. Obviously the new technology must work safely, and operate within an appropriate regulatory framework. But public acceptance and solid business models are also vital if a new idea is to move from R&D lab to testbed to early adoption, and eventually into mainstream usage.

There’s inevitably a lot of hype surrounding the future of transportation, but also plenty of substance, with big investments being made both by disruptive tech companies and by incumbent industry players. Can technology help to get us and our goods around quicker, in greater safety, and with less damage to the planet?

Connected & Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs)

google-waymo-car.jpg

Waymo’s fully self-driving Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid minivan on a public road.


Image: Waymo

Driverless cars, or Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) are getting the lion’s share of attention, but the wider implications of CAVs and other novel forms of transport are also firmly on the agenda — including smarter, greener cities and more efficient distribution of freight and consumer deliveries.

To get an overview of a large part of this subject area, it’s worth examining Gartner’s Hype Cycle, and the 2017 status of technologies relating to connected vehicles and smart mobility:

gartner-hype-cycle-cvs-sm.png

Images: Gartner (top), ZDNet (bottom)

Most of the technologies listed here are in the early stages of the progression towards mainstream adoption, according to Gartner, with only five out of 30 making it beyond the Trough of Disillusionment.

No surprise, then, that there’s a lot of activity in the CAV market. In a report published last October The Brookings Institution collated reports of “investments and transactions attributable to autonomous vehicles or core technologies” between August 2014 and June 2017, and found over 160 separate deals amounting to some $80 billion. These covered auto electronics, microchips, rideshare apps, AI/deep learning, digital mapping, non-AI software, physical systems and sensors. The authors concluded that “investment in 2018 should be substantially more than the $80 billion disclosed from 2014 to 2017, and continue upward for some period of time as the race to deploy self-driving moves on.”

At the same time, public perception of autonomous vehicle safety seems to be heading in a positive direction. In a survey last year, Gartner found that while 55 percent of respondents (from the US and Germany) would not consider travelling in a fully autonomous car, 71 percent would ride in a partially autonomous vehicle.

These findings are echoed by the Deloitte 2018 Global Automotive Consumer Study, which found that the percentage of respondents considering fully self-driving vehicles unsafe ranged from

Oct
14

The Future Of The Car

The truth that stares in our faces in present instances is the fact that we’ve got to work with a view to survive in this world. Those that drive BLACK cars typically have an aggressive streak. The way these types of websites operate allows them to profit from consumers visiting their web site, as appose to sellers listing their cars. In fact, there are a number of automobiles that dealers have tried promoting on their tons for some time to no avail earlier than deciding to chop their losses quick by disposing of them quickly at the auctions.

In racing guidelines, a driver not on the lead lap is supposed to permit lead lap cars to go by. If they’re refusing to do so, they are going to be shown this blue flag with the diagonal orange stripe. Advantages: these automobiles are effectively maintained and pushed for just one year.

Do u look at pictures or do u draw out of memory, and if u do use your reminiscence, then how do you do it, i’m just about tired of going on the internet to get photos of cars i wanna draw. Instance graphite pencil drawings of cars. Dreaming that your car won’t begin can symbolize that you don’t have control over a state of affairs, circumstance, or relationship in your waking life.

Under you will find a brief video about finding good visible info within the photos you wish to use as examples to attract cars from, in order to be more able to draw tires and wheels that look life like. Nicely placed lines can recommend so much, I purposely left the shading out of this because I felt it essential to teach people about development as I feel it’s the most troublesome a part of drawing.

I am wanting in the direction of retiring at 50 (9 extra years) and sale cars full time. How to attract cars, a sport that helps you draw cars. The reason is is that there is a likelihood you might not get the car you need if it’s your first time bidding on seized vehicles for sale.

After a delay of sixteen years and a sequence of attachments to his software, on 5 November 1895, Selden was granted a United States patent ( U.S. Patent 549,a hundred and sixty ) for a two-stroke car engine, which hindered, more than encouraged , improvement of cars in the United States.…

Mar
3

Friendly Transportation Of The Future

Ocean freight is among the finest methods of transporting items to places world wide. Its mission is just to help enhance the transportation of individuals and goods by bringing an improved understanding of the topic to the theorists, practitioners and policy makers who research it. The carrier is employed, not because of his experience in packing cargo, but to supply a facility to move goods from one place to a different.

In the case of public roads and highways, these increased maintenance prices can result in increased taxes to people and companies. In circumstances like this, trucking or transport service providers are employed to distribute the commodities. The alternatives of transport which you’ll choose from embrace street, rail, sea and air.

We work on all areas of transportation in the Metropolis of Boston. Transportation to and from an alternate site (i.e. day care or a bus decide-up level) could also be reimbursed, as long as the miles don’t exceed the number of miles from dwelling to school. The Regional Transit Authority runs buses and rail routes into surrounding neighborhoods and inside-ring suburbs.

It’s common for medical transportation providers to purchase common vans, both new or used, after which have them fitted out to swimsuit particular wants purchasers. Improve organizational efficiency and improve productivity with our spectrum of merchandise, companies and options, designed to address the most common motor vehicle trade challenges.

Many people choose bus transport because it is low-cost. Helping folks get to work and to get to jobs, helping employers get access to the widest community of workers; transportation investments make common sense. Any cargo that falls off a transferring car is not just harmful and costly to the load itself, it will probably also trigger a significant amount of harm to different people and property on the street.

Also, in an effort to stay competitive, intermodal firms work laborious to obtain diminished rates from different carriers on totally different modes which they pass on to their prospects by combining them to give you rates that compete with different non-intermodal low value modes which are quite aggressive.…